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Direct and Indirect Effects

📅 February 28, 2022 👤 Judea Pearl 📖 ACM eBooks 📊 925 citations

🤖 Plain-English Summary

The direct effect of one eventon another can be defined and measured byholding constant all intermediate variables between the two.Indirect effects present conceptual andpractical difficulties (in nonlinear models), because they cannot be isolated by holding certain variablesconstant. This paper shows a way of defining any path-specific effectthat does not invoke blocking the remainingpaths.This permits the assessment of a more naturaltype of direct and indirect effects, one thatis applicable in...

🔑 Key Findings

  • This paper shows a way of defining any path-specific effectthat does not invoke blocking the remainingpaths.This permits the assessment of a more naturaltype of direct and indirect effects, one thatis applicable in both linear and nonlinear models.
  • The paper establishesconditions under which such assessments can be estimated consistentlyfrom experimental and nonexperimental data,and thus extends path-analytic techniques tononlinear and nonparametric models.

💡 Why This Matters

This work deepens our understanding of the fundamental laws governing the universe, from subatomic particles to cosmic structures.

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📋 Article Details

Category ⚛️ Physics & Space Science
Published Feb 28, 2022
Journal ACM eBooks
Authors Judea Pearl
DOI 10.1145/3501714.3501736
Citations 925
Source OpenAlex

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